- Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 10°C or below on August 29?>99¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 11°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 12°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 13°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 14°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 15°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 16°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 20°C or higher on August 29?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts from European models indicate a sharp overnight drop in Munich, with minimum temperatures expected to reach or fall below 10°C due to clear skies, radiative cooling, and a northwesterly flow advecting cooler air masses. This aligns with the market's near-certain implied probability for the lowest daily reading on August 29, consistent with historical variability where late-August minima have dipped to 4–8°C in past cool episodes. Official observations from stations such as Munich Airport will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes, though revisions in short-range model runs or unexpected cloud cover remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.