- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on September 7?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 7?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 7?100¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 7?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 7?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 7?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 7?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 7?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 7?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 7?0¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on September 7?0¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official observations from the Miami International Airport ASOS station recorded a minimum temperature of 74°F on September 7, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 74-75°F outcome at near-100% implied probability. This value, reported in real-time climate summaries and daily data feeds, reflects the overnight low reached around dawn under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limited radiative cooling. Historical September normals place Miami's average daily minimum near 77°F, so the observed reading sits slightly below that baseline yet well above record lows. Because the date has passed and verified station data are now public, trader consensus rests on this authoritative measurement rather than forecasts. The only realistic challenges would involve an official data revision by the National Weather Service or a market rule interpreting "Miami" via a different station or threshold, both of which remain highly improbable given the consistency across sources.