- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on September 6?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 6?11¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 6?30¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 6?48¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on September 6?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on September 6 project overnight lows in the upper 70s amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping further. These conditions align with typical early-September subtropical patterns where warm Gulf and Atlantic waters, combined with cloud cover and moisture, moderate radiative cooling. Recent daily observations show similar minima of 75–78°F, supporting market-implied odds favoring 74–77°F ranges as the consensus reflects model consensus on limited overnight cooling without atypical frontal influences. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations remain key near-term data points.