- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on August 26?2¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on August 26?2¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 26?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 26?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 26?8¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 26?33¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 26?35¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models project an overnight low near 80°F for Miami on August 26, 2026, driven by persistent high humidity, dew points around 74–78°F, and southeast winds limiting radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with the historical average low of 77.6°F and recent years’ readings of 78–82°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 80–83°F ranges because small variations in cloud cover, rainfall timing, or wind speed could shift the minimum by a degree or two, while stronger convection or clearer breaks might push it lower. Traders weigh these factors against climatological baselines, with resolution depending on official Miami International Airport observations.