- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 24?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 24?99¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 24?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F in Miami on August 24, 2026, reflecting observed conditions at Miami International Airport and alignment with late-summer climatology. Official National Weather Service data recorded a daily minimum of 77°F, just below the 1991-2020 normal of 78°F, with overnight readings stabilizing in the upper 70s amid typical subtropical moisture and light winds. This outcome sits well within the long-term August average low of 77.6°F and matches recent years when minima clustered between 76-80°F absent unusual synoptic forcing. No significant cold-air intrusion or atypical steering patterns occurred to push temperatures lower, as steering currents and Atlantic high pressure maintained the usual warm, humid regime. The 99% market-implied probability underscores this tight clustering of observations and model guidance around the 76-77°F bin. Only an anomalous measurement revision, localized microclimate effect at the official station, or unforeseen late-day cooling could realistically shift the recorded low outside this range, though such deviations remain historically rare for the date.