- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on August 21?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on August 21?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 21?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 21?2¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 21?38¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 21?59¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 21?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 21?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 21?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 21?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on August 21?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 80°F in Miami on August 21, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 80-81°F and 78-79°F brackets. This reflects typical late-summer climatology, where Miami’s average August minimum at Miami International Airport is 80°F amid persistently high humidity and sea-surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and a heat advisory are expected to maintain warm boundary-layer conditions, reducing the chance of significant drops below the forecast minimum. Recent model consensus shows little deviation from this baseline, with any variance most likely tied to the exact timing and coverage of evening convection.