Lowest temperature in Miami on August 17?
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on August 17?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on August 17?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on August 17?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 17?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 17?55¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 17?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 17?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 17?1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 17?42¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 17?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on August 17?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Miami's overnight low on August 17 will settle near 81°F under mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and persistently high dew points that limit radiative cooling in this subtropical environment. These conditions align with August climatology, where average minimums hover near 78–80°F and rarely drop below 76°F due to elevated moisture and urban heat retention. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55% implied probability for 80–81°F and 41.5% for 78–79°F, incorporates this guidance while acknowledging minor model spread and potential microscale variations at official recording sites. No major atmospheric shifts, such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover, have altered the outlook in recent days.