Lowest temperature in Miami on August 15?
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 15?>99¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 15?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project Miami’s overnight low on August 15 settling at 82°F under stable high pressure and elevated boundary-layer moisture, which suppress typical nocturnal cooling and align with the market’s 99.5% implied probability for the 82–83°F range. August climatology normally yields lows near 78°F, yet recent observations and model consensus indicate warmer-than-average conditions driven by persistent subtropical ridging. Resolution hinges on official Miami International Airport readings; any unexpected frontal passage or heavy convective rainfall could briefly lower temperatures toward 80°F, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts unlikely before the midnight cutoff.