- Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 26?3¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 26?17¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 26?49¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 26?32¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the Met Office and other sources indicate a mild overnight period for London on August 26, with minimum temperatures expected near 17–19°C amid a warm, humid air mass, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. This aligns with the month's +2.9°C temperature anomaly above the 18.7°C long-term August mean, where recent days have shown overnight lows rarely dipping below 15°C. Persistent southeasterly flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling, keeping the overnight minimum elevated compared to typical late-August baselines. Trader consensus on 18°C as the mode reflects these stable conditions, though fresh model runs or observed readings through dawn could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop.