Lowest temperature in London on August 14?
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C or below on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 14?2¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 14?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on August 14?28¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on August 14?54¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on August 14?11¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 24°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 25°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on August 14?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Residual heat from a record-setting high-pressure system, which drove London highs to 33–38°C on August 13, positions 21–22°C as the most likely overnight minimum on August 14. Met Office and ECMWF guidance show limited nocturnal cooling under continued stable conditions, augmented by the urban heat-island effect that typically elevates city lows by 2–4°C above rural baselines. A gradual northerly cooling trend is emerging but has yet to substantially affect southeastern England. Trader consensus at 52.5% for 22°C and 27.5% for 21°C reflects these short-range model runs; probabilities for sub-20°C outcomes remain low pending the next forecast cycle, while warmer extremes carry negligible implied odds given the post-peak trajectory.