- Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 19°C or below on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 20°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 21°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 22°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 23°C on September 6?4¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 24°C on September 6?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C on September 6?36¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on September 6?97¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C or higher on September 6?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts for Kuala Lumpur on September 6, 2026, from sources including the Malaysian Meteorological Department and international models, indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C under typical tropical conditions with moderate humidity, scattered clouds, and light southerly winds. This aligns with September climatology showing average overnight lows of 24–25°C and supports the market-implied 96.5% consensus on 26°C as the lowest reading. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong signals for enhanced cooling from heavier rainfall or atypical atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge would require unexpected overnight clearing combined with stronger radiative cooling or a revised observational network reading below the threshold, though current data and historical precedent make such shifts unlikely before resolution.