This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum near 26°C for September 2 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–6 on the Beaufort scale, which limit radiational cooling in Hong Kong’s humid subtropical regime. Numerical models show similar overnight lows of 24–26°C, consistent with early-September climatology where daily minima average around 25–26°C absent strong cold advection. Recent low-pressure influences and elevated humidity (70–95%) further suppress temperature drops, positioning 25°C as the market leader with 24°C as a plausible alternative if winds strengthen or skies clear briefly. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours.