- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 25?33¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 25?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 25?20¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?42¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25 centers on the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C, with most models indicating overnight minima near 27°C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping minimums elevated relative to the August climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Recent days of widespread rain and thunderstorm activity have maintained high humidity and prevented sharp drops, while distant tropical cyclone influences add uncertainty to steering patterns and timing. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–28°C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though any early clearing or stronger winds could push the recorded low slightly lower before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.