- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 20?6¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 20?20¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 20?43¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 20?36¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?4¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 20?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather prediction guidance point to a minimum temperature of 27–28°C on August 20, underpinning the tight market-implied odds of 43% and 35.5% on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly flow and typical late-summer boundary-layer moisture keep overnight values elevated near the seasonal average low of 27°C. Normal-to-above-normal temperature anomalies from the seasonal outlook and recent model consensus reinforce this range, though small forecast shifts in cloud timing or wind could favor 26°C or push toward 29°C before resolution. Traders are monitoring evening model updates and observatory briefings for any last refinements.