- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or higher on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on August 28?40¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 28?6¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 28?42¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 28?42¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 28?47¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 28?47¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 28?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Chongqing on August 28, driven by the arrival of rain and possible cooler air from typhoon remnants beginning that night. Persistent subtropical high pressure has sustained daytime heat into late August, but increasing cloud cover, showers, and higher humidity are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer prior nights. Historical August lows average 25–26°C, with model consensus showing modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, as small shifts in precipitation onset or wind patterns could differentiate outcomes between 25°C and 28°C.