- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on August 26?25¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on August 26?47¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 26?23¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 26?32¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 26?23¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 26?34¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory and global models point to overnight lows of 26–29°C on August 26 under subtropical high pressure, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and only scattered showers in southern districts limiting radiative cooling. High humidity (around 60–80%) and urban heat retention further support minimums near 27°C, aligning with the market’s leading 27°C (34%) and 25°C (32%) outcomes. Differentiating factors include the extent of cloud cover versus clear intervals that enhance nighttime cooling, potential localized rain suppressing temperatures toward 23–25°C, and any last-hour model shifts in steering flow or dew points before resolution. Historical August baselines near 26°C provide context for the tight clustering around these values.