- Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or higher on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 8°C or below on August 26?>99¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles indicate Cape Town temperatures will reach 8°C or below as the daily minimum on August 26, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. Clear, stable high-pressure conditions overnight have allowed radiational cooling under light winds and low humidity, with early-morning readings already approaching or dipping into single digits at key stations. This aligns with typical late-winter nocturnal minima in the region when synoptic patterns suppress cloud cover and advection. Resolution hinges on official verified minimums from the primary reporting site, so minor shifts in station selection or final quality-control adjustments remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome.