- Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -9°C or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -8°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -7°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -6°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -5°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -4°C on August 22?5¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -3°C on August 22?25¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -2°C on August 22?25¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -1°C on August 22?28¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 0°C on August 22?28¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 1°C or higher on August 22?42¢
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including detailed hourly projections, indicate a minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on August 22 likely between 4°C and 6°C overnight into early morning under clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This supports the market's leading 1°C-or-higher outcome while leaving room for slight downward revisions if radiational cooling strengthens under calm conditions or if model runs shift. The close clustering of probabilities around 0°C to 1°C versus modest negatives reflects uncertainty in exact overnight lows, driven by variables such as dew point depression, surface pressure trends near 1025–1027 hPa, and the potential for localized frost pockets. Historical August minima rarely dip below 0°C in the city, but current cooler-than-average patterns elevate sensitivity to small forecast adjustments before resolution.