- Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C or below on August 26?6¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on August 26?62¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Clear skies and light easterly winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in Amsterdam, with official and model guidance from sources aligned to GFS converging on a minimum near 13°C for August 26. Recent observations show the prior night's low at 13.2°C, while late-August climatology places the typical minimum around 12.7–13.4°C; current conditions lack the stronger northerly flow or greater cloud cover that would push temperatures lower. Multiple forecasts list the low between 13–15°C with minimal precipitation risk, supporting the market's 61.8% implied probability on exactly 13°C and the low 6% odds on 12°C or below. Updated model runs and morning observations will determine final resolution as the day progresses.