- Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?69¢
- Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?18¢
- Will Zakari Mohammed win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?11¢
- Will Ajibade Adekunle win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?1¢
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kwara State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Salihu Danladi (Yakubu Danladi-Salihu), Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, leads trader sentiment after securing the All Progressives Congress (APC) nomination for the February 2027 gubernatorial election. He defeated multiple aspirants in the party primary and received the INEC nomination form in July 2026, backed by assembly endorsements and a statewide thank-you tour. As the candidate of the incumbent APC—which has held the governorship since 2019—his position reflects party consolidation ahead of the general election. Lower-priced alternatives such as Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu and Zakari Mohammed register weaker support, consistent with limited opposition momentum or party infrastructure. Minor internal APC tensions, including youth-group pushback, have not materially altered the frontrunner's market position.