- Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?2¢
- Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?96¢
- Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?4¢
- Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
The @khamenei_ir account, which now issues statements from the martyred former Supreme Leader, has maintained a pattern of very low posting volume since Ali Khamenei's assassination earlier in 2026, with activity limited mainly to occasional official or commemorative messages. This consistent behavior underpins trader consensus around fewer than five posts for the August 14-21 window, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of the account's established cadence amid ongoing regional tensions. Mojtaba Khamenei's separate verified accounts have handled more frequent messaging on conflict-related topics, but markets for the original handle remain anchored in its sparse track record. A major escalation, key anniversary, or high-profile diplomatic development inside the resolution period could increase output, though such triggers have not materialized in recent comparable weeks.