Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?89¢
- Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?11¢
- Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
The @khamenei_ir account, now managed under Mojtaba Khamenei’s leadership following Ali Khamenei’s March 2026 assassination, has settled into a low-volume pattern of occasional archival reposts and brief statements on religious commemorations or foreign policy. This established routine, rather than frequent original content, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the August 11–18 window. Recent activity remains sparse, consistent with the prior week’s similar market pricing and the account’s shift away from high-frequency output after the succession. No major scheduled events or escalations in the immediate period have altered this baseline, keeping higher bins at negligible implied probabilities.