This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Knaff and Raphael Perot in the M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Knaff' if Alex Knaff advances against Raphael Perot. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Perot' if Raphael Perot advances against Alex Knaff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Raphael Perot enters the M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre semifinal on hard courts as the higher-ranked player (around No. 338) with stronger overall recent form, including multiple clay wins leading into the event, giving him an implied probability edge in trader pricing. Alex Knaff, ranked lower, has built local momentum with straight-set victories over Guillaume Dalmasso and a retirement win over Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar in the same tournament, highlighting his hard-court comfort and experience at age 28. Perot, at 25, brings a solid 68% career win rate but limited hard-court data recently, creating a surface-transition variable. No prior head-to-head exists, and both players’ records emphasize consistent baseline play without notable injury concerns, though the faster hard surface could favor Knaff’s serve and return efficiency in this closely contested matchup.