ID-01 House Election Winner

Name: ID-01 House Election Winner
Start: 2026-01-28T21:36:25.832728Z
End: 2026-11-03T00:00:00Z

PoliticsElectionsUS ElectionMidtermsNov 4 ElectionsHouse ElectionsIdaho Midterm

Start Date

2026-01-28

End Date

2026-11-03

24h Volume

$8K

Total Volume

$47K

Will the Democratic Party win the ID-01 House seat?3¢
Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat?96¢

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the market’s strong consensus for a Republican winner ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination with roughly 78 percent of the primary vote in May, facing limited opposition in a district that leans heavily conservative and last supported a Democratic House candidate in 2008. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, consistent with the area’s voting history and partisan composition. Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson and any independent challengers face structural headwinds in turnout and voter registration. A Republican victory could be disrupted by a late major scandal, nominee withdrawal, or an unforeseen national political shift, though no such developments have materialized.