- Will Tesla deliver less than 375000 vehicles in Q3 20261¢
- Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q3 20262¢
- Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q3 2026<1¢
- Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 20263¢
- Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 202627¢
- Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 202649¢
- Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 20269¢
- Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q3 20264¢
- Will Tesla deliver 550000 or more vehicles in Q3 2026<1¢
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.