- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on September 3?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 3?85¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on September 3?17¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a maximum of 29°C in Zhengzhou today under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning with the market's 89.5% implied probability for that outcome. Early September climatology features average highs near 27°C, but persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover have supported readings 1–2°C above baseline without triggering stronger warming. Official surface observations and hourly trends through mid-morning confirm steady ascent toward the upper 20s, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius limiting convective development. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum reported by local stations, where small variations in wind or insolation could shift the final value by 1°C; updated model runs later today will further refine the narrow range between 28°C and 30°C.