- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 31?>99¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official meteorological forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 31, 2026, project a clear-sky daytime maximum of 32–34°C driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and late-summer solar heating typical for the region. Multiple agency model runs and current observations showing temperatures already climbing through the low 30s align with this outlook, underpinning the market's 99.9% implied probability for 32°C or higher. Minor downward revisions remain possible if unexpected afternoon cloud build-up occurs, though consensus across sources indicates low risk of such shifts before peak heating.