- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 30?>99¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Zhengzhou will experience peak temperatures of 30–32°C on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels near 50%. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where daily highs typically range 28–32°C and radiative heating under limited cloud cover supports readings near or above 32°C. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions and minimal model spread. The outcome could shift only if unexpected convective activity or stronger winds develop, though current guidance shows low precipitation probability and stable steering patterns through the afternoon observation window.