- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 29?>99¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a daily maximum of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 29, 2026, reflecting live observational data and short-range forecast models showing afternoon temperatures climbing to 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and low precipitation risk. August climatology supports this positioning, with typical highs near 31°C and frequent peaks at or above 32°C during late-summer high-pressure patterns. Multiple meteorological sources confirm current readings already approaching 30–31°C midday with continued warming expected through the afternoon peak. Realistic challenges remain limited to rapid increases in cloud cover or an unforecast shower that could cap the maximum 1–2°C lower, though model agreement and minimal moisture make such deviations unlikely before official daily records close.