- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 20?>99¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies shows atmospheric conditions over Zhengzhou supporting a daily maximum of at least 32 °C on August 20, consistent with mid-August climatology where highs frequently reach or exceed this threshold under typical monsoon-influenced patterns. Strong solar heating, limited cloud cover, and light winds are key factors sustaining the market-implied odds near 100% for the 32 °C or higher outcome. Traders' consensus reflects observed trends and model consensus rather than any single projection. An unexpected surge in cloudiness, heavy precipitation, or a rapid shift in steering flow could still suppress the peak, though such developments appear unlikely based on current data.