- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 9?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on September 9?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on September 9?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 9?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 9?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 9?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on September 9?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 9?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 9?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 9?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 9?27¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend in Wuhan on September 9, 2026, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 28–29°C due to strengthening northeasterly winds and increased cloud cover following several days of extreme heat above 33°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on official guidance from agencies tracking regional pressure systems and advection patterns. Minor variations in model runs introduce uncertainty around exact peak values, while low probabilities for 30°C or higher reflect the expected moderation. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.