- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 6?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 6?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 6?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on September 6?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C or below on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 6?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on September 6?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on September 6?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate mostly sunny to clear skies over Wuhan on September 6 with light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a daily maximum near 32°C. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where highs typically range 30–33°C under stable high-pressure influence without significant frontal systems or monsoon remnants. Recent observational trends show consistent daytime warming to these levels, with ensemble guidance showing low spread and negligible precipitation risk that could suppress temperatures. Trader consensus around 33°C as the modal outcome reflects this stable pattern, though minor model variations in afternoon mixing or boundary-layer humidity keep 32°C and 34°C viable near-term resolutions.