- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 5?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 5?46¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 5?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 5?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 5?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 5?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on September 5?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Wuhan's September 5 high near 31–32 °C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low precipitation probability. This aligns with the market's leading 32 °C outcome at 45.5 % implied probability, followed by 33 °C and 31 °C, reflecting typical early-September subtropical conditions over the Yangtze basin where seasonal highs average 30–32 °C. Stable high pressure and modest humidity limit both strong daytime heating and overnight cooling, keeping extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C unlikely. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the precise maximum before resolution.