- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 2?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 2?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 2?38¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 2?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 2?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 2?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 2?4¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a cooling trend for Wuhan on September 2 driven by northerly winds and increased cloud cover associated with residual typhoon influences and frontal passages. These conditions are expected to limit daytime heating, with consensus highs clustering near 28–29°C amid low precipitation chances that may further moderate peaks through evaporative cooling. Historical climatology for early September shows typical maxima around 29°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29–31°C outcomes. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this range without significant upward revisions, sustaining the current market positioning ahead of final observational data.