- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 1?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 1?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 1?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 1?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 1?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 1?7¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature near 28°C in Wuhan on September 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers associated with a frontal system that has cooled the region over recent days. These conditions limit surface heating and convective mixing, keeping daytime peaks suppressed relative to clearer late-summer norms. Trader emphasis on the 27–29°C range reflects remaining uncertainty in precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C depending on whether skies partially clear during peak insolation hours. Updated model runs overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.