- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 30?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 30?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 30?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 30?39¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on August 30?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on August 30?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 30, 2026, center on a high of 32–34°C amid cooling from typhoon peripheral flow. Multiple official and model outputs, including Chinese meteorological sources and international services, project a daytime peak near 32–33°C, with northerly winds of 3–5 levels, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. This follows several days of 36–38°C highs earlier in late August, with the shift driven by the typhoon's outer circulation bringing moisture and suppressing temperatures. Historical late-August averages for Wuhan fall around 32–34°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current conditions rather than extreme heat. Precipitation probability (often 40–50% or higher in afternoon hours) and humidity levels near 70% further moderate peaks, reducing the chance of reaching 35°C or above while making 31°C or lower less probable under the expected partly cloudy to overcast setup. Model consensus emphasizes this range, with minor variations in exact hourly maxima (e.g., brief 33°C readings in some runs) explaining the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C and the slight lead for 33°C. Upcoming updates from agencies like China's Central Meteorological Observatory or refined model runs on the morning of August 30 could shift probabilities if rainfall timing or intensity changes.