- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 28?44¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 28?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 28?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 28?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 28?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 28?4¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high in Wuhan on August 28 near 35–37 °C under mostly cloudy to sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This consensus, amid the tail end of a prolonged post-sanfu heat episode, underpins trader preference for 37 °C as the leading outcome. Day-to-day model variability around cloud cover and local urban heat effects creates the observed spread toward 36 °C and 38 °C. A shift to stronger northerly flow and increased moisture is expected to moderate temperatures beginning August 29, so the official station reading reported by the Wuhan Meteorological Bureau on the 28th will resolve the market.