- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C or below on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 27?43¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 27?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 27?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 27?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 27?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 27?29¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 42°C or higher on August 27?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Hubei meteorological authorities project a high of 37–38°C in central Wuhan on August 27 under mostly cloudy to sunny skies with localized showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the market's leading probabilities for 38°C and 37°C. Persistent post-fush heat across the Yangtze basin, following the fifth-hottest 40-day period since 1961, supports these readings, as weak steering winds and high humidity limit daytime cooling despite scattered convection. Model consensus and recent observations indicate only modest relief from partial cloud cover, keeping maxima well above the late-August climatological average of 32–34°C. A broader cooling trend tied to typhoon-related moisture is not expected until August 30, leaving the immediate 24–48-hour window favoring the current 37–38°C range with limited downside risk.