- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 20?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 20?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 20?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 20?38¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 20?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 20?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C or higher on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 20?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources point to thundery showers and increased cloud cover moderating Wuhan’s peak temperature on August 20, with consensus highs clustered between 34–35 °C. Persistent subtropical monsoon moisture and light northeasterly flow limit daytime heating despite seasonal norms near 32 °C, while any break in cloudiness could allow brief spikes toward 36 °C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 35 °C at 37 % and 34 °C at 29.5 %, underscoring the sensitivity of the daily maximum to the precise timing and coverage of convective activity. Official resolution will hinge on verified station observations, where even modest shifts in precipitation timing or insolation can differentiate outcomes within the tightly bunched 34–36 °C bracket.