Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 17?
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C or below on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 17?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 17?41¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 17?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 17?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 17?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 17?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 17?5¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicates a daytime maximum of 32–34°C for Wuhan on August 17 under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with light northeasterly flow, high humidity, and scattered thundery showers that promote cloud cover and evaporative cooling to moderate peaks. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging near 33°C and explains why the market assigns the highest implied probabilities to 33°C (41%) and 34°C (27%), followed by 32°C (20.5%). No significant shifts from recent model runs or observational data have altered this range, though final resolution will depend on official station measurements amid inherent forecast uncertainty from precipitation timing.