Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 14?
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on August 14?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 14?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 14?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 14?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 14?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 14?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 14?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on August 14?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on a peak temperature of 28–30°C for Wuhan on August 14, driven by widespread cloud cover, passing showers, and elevated humidity tied to lingering monsoon influences that limit solar heating and convective development. These conditions explain why the market assigns the highest implied probabilities to the 29°C (36%) and 30°C (34%) outcomes, with 28°C close behind at 18.5%. Historical August maxima often reach 35°C or higher under clearer anticyclonic patterns, but current instability and moisture transport reduce that likelihood absent rapid shifts in steering winds. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader consensus.