- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 8?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 8?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 8?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?58¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 8?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 8?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like MetService and international sources indicate a maximum temperature of 12–13°C in Wellington, New Zealand, on September 8, driven by clearing conditions after a period of southerly flow. Recent observations show persistent southeast winds and rain on September 6–7, with highs near 8–11°C and high humidity, as a cool air mass moves through. By the 8th, lighter southwest to variable winds, partly cloudy skies, and rising pressure are expected to allow modest daytime warming, consistent with early spring climatology where daily maxima typically range 12–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 13°C (58% implied probability), with smaller probabilities for 12°C or 14°C reflecting residual model uncertainty in cloud cover and wind timing. Newer model runs or official briefings could refine these odds before resolution.