- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 5?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 5?52¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 5?39¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 5?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on September 5?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts for Wellington indicate a persistent northwesterly airflow and partly cloudy, windy conditions on September 5 that favor daytime maxima of 13–15°C. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where regional averages hover near 13–14°C amid variable frontal passages. Model consensus shows limited warm-air advection and strong mixing from winds near 25–40 km/h, which caps potential for higher readings while making 14–16°C outcomes the most probable. Trader-implied odds for 15°C and 16°C reflect this stable pattern, though fresh model runs or observational updates on frontal timing could shift the distribution before resolution.