- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 30?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 30?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 30?54¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 30?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on August 30?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 30?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington will experience fine, mostly sunny conditions on August 30 under northwesterly flow, supporting a daytime maximum near 15–17 °C. Persistent high pressure and light-to-moderate winds have limited cloud cover and allowed recent daily highs to reach 16–17 °C, establishing a baseline consistent with late-winter climatology for the region. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no incoming cold fronts or significant marine air advection expected before peak heating. Trader positioning around 16–18 °C reflects this stability, tempered by typical forecast uncertainty in wind-driven temperature variations and the precise timing of any late-day cooling. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts.