- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C or below on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 27?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 27?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 27?53¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 27?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 27?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 27?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on August 27?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and WeatherBug forecasts for Wellington project a daytime maximum of 13–14 °C on August 27 under mostly cloudy skies and light southeasterly flow, establishing the 14 °C outcome as the clear market leader at 52.5 % implied probability. These models reflect typical late-winter conditions in which cool maritime air and limited solar heating keep highs near the August climatological average of 13–15 °C. Recent observations show no rapid warming trend or model shift that would favor 15 °C or higher, while the 13 °C share at 30.5 % captures residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and cloud cover. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance from official agencies over longer-range variability.