- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 24?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 24?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 24?57¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 24?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 24?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 24?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from MetService, the Met Office, and WeatherBug converge on a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 24 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwesterly winds, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (58.5%) and 16°C (26.5%). These conditions reflect a stable late-winter pattern with no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to limit daytime heating, while climatological averages for the date hover near 12–13°C. Model consensus and the absence of precipitation risk have reinforced trader expectations that the daily maximum will fall squarely in the 14–16°C range, with only modest probability assigned to outliers.