- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 22?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 22?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 22?63¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 22?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 22?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on August 22?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high near 14°C for Wellington on August 22 under strong northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy conditions and possible showers later. Trader consensus heavily favors 15°C (62.5% implied probability) over the 14°C outcome (27.5%), reflecting uncertainty in peak daytime heating amid variable winds and the potential for localized warming or slight model upward revisions before resolution. Historical August maxima average near 13–14°C, but the market positions 15–16°C as plausible given recent northerly influences that can elevate readings at official stations. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.