Highest temperature in Wellington on August 15?
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 15?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 15?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 15?51¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 15?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 15?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current MetService forecasts for Wellington show a daytime high of 14–15°C on August 15, supported by a high-pressure ridge delivering light winds and partly cloudy conditions after recent cooler southerlies. Wellington’s August climatology centers on 13–14°C maxima, with NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigning the highest probability to near-average temperatures amid typical winter westerlies and occasional Antarctic air intrusions. Model consensus and short-range updates favor outcomes clustered around these values, with limited upside from warmer advection or downside from stronger cold fronts expected in the next 48 hours. Trader positioning reflects this narrow forecast range and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric steering patterns.