- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 5?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 5?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 5?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 5?62¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or below on September 5?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models for Warsaw on September 5, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 21°C under westerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and scattered light showers, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Early morning readings near 17°C and afternoon peaks of 20–22°C reflect typical early-September climatology influenced by Atlantic air masses rather than blocking highs. Model consensus shows limited variability due to consistent pressure gradients around 1010 hPa and wind speeds of 15–30 km/h, reducing the likelihood of significant deviation. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread against minor uncertainties in exact timing of any showers or brief clearing that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or lower.