- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 28?60¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 28?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C or higher on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 28?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 28?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 28?28¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs points to a maximum of 25–26°C in Warsaw on August 28 under clear to partly cloudy skies, southeasterly flow, and a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. This setup favors moderate daytime heating from solar radiation while limiting extreme warmth, consistent with late-August climatology where the long-term average high sits near 21°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upward revisions possible if insolation exceeds expectations or if boundary-layer mixing weakens overnight. Official observations from the Warsaw station will determine final resolution once the calendar day closes.